IF&PAInterval Fusion with Preference Aggregation

Don't trust the narrowest interval. Count the votes.

IF&PA fuses measurement results of the form “value ± uncertainty” into one reliable value. Each result votes for the values its interval covers; the votes are aggregated by the Borda rule — giving the preferential median, robust to outliers and to understated uncertainties.

  • Everything runs in your browser — your data are not sent anywhere
  • Comparison with nine well-known estimators on the same data
  • Ready code in Python, R, MATLAB, C++ and JavaScript
outlier with small u
intervalpreferential medianweighted mean
For students: IF&PA in 20 minutes An interactive lecture of 17 slides: drag intervals, vote, build a schedule, check yourself at the end. Start the lecture

What problem the method solves

In short, without formulas

Problem

Many measurements — which value to trust?

The same quantity has been measured several times: in different laboratories, with different instruments, sensors or methods. The results differ, each has its own uncertainty, and some are wrong while looking very precise: their interval is narrow. One value that can be trusted is needed.

IF&PA's answer

Let the results vote

The interval of each result is a vote for all the values inside it. The value voted for by the most intervals wins. A wrong result is just one vote, however narrow its interval.

Where it is used

All applications →

How it works

Try it — the intervals can be dragged. Details on the Method page

  1. Intervals vote

    Each result x ± u votes for all the values inside its interval.

  2. Votes are counted

    For each value we count how many intervals cover it — the bars under the axis. The Borda rule picks the values with the largest support; their median is the preferential median.

  3. One interval, one vote

    Drag the narrow interval I6 — an outlier — anywhere: the preferential median hardly moves, while the weighted mean follows it.

Laboratory toolkit

Everything runs in your browser

Understand the method: interactive lecture · preference aggregation theory · the IF&PA method step by step · publications

When the method helps

From the simulations in the configurator and the planner

IF&PA is more accurate

  • Some results are wrong but state too small an uncertainty. Check →
  • The error is bounded: digital instruments, rounding, tolerances. Check →
  • Deviations go mostly one way. Check →
  • There are few results, and one of them is confidently wrong. Check →

About the same

  • A wide normal spread, as in production records. The MM-estimator and the median are as accurate as IF&PA but overstate the norms — extra reserve in the plan. Check →

Other estimators are more accurate

  • No outliers, normal errors, honest uncertainties — the weighted mean. Check →
  • The real spread of all results exceeds the stated one — the DerSimonian–Laird random-effects model. Check →
  • Heavy tails without confident outliers — mixture model mode, median. Check →

Using the method in your work? Please cite: Muravyov S.V., Khudonogova L.I., Emelyanova E.Yu. Interval data fusion with preference aggregation. Measurement, 2018, 116, 621–630. doi:10.1016/j.measurement.2017.08.045

How to cite